energy technical potential
- the energy technical potential of a technology is its achievable energy generation given system performance, topographic, environmental, and land-use constraints
assessing technical potential establishees an upper-boundary estimate of development potential
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there are multiple types of potential
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resource
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technical
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economic
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market
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economic
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technical
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resource
NRL's energy technical potential 2012 report
the technical potential of specific renewable electricity generation technologies
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there are specific estimates of energy generation potential
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based only on…
- renewable resource availability and quality
- technical system performance
- topographic limitations
- environmental
- land-use constraints
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based only on…
methodology
spatial analysis calculating renewable energy technical potential
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reporting…
- land area sqkm
- installed capacity
- electricity generation
- utility-scale photovoltaic
- solar power
- offshore/onshore wind power
- biopower
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geothermal systems each system-specific power density, capacity factor, and land-use constraints
- were identified using published research, subject matter experts, and analysis
heavily relying on System Advisor Model (SAM) AND Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) multi-regional, multi-time period, GIS, and linear programming model
utility scale photovoltaic (urban)
\(State MWh = State \sum [urban openspace(km^2) \cdot power density (48\frac{MW}{km^2})\cdot state capacity factor (%) \cdot 8760 (hours per year)]\)
enhance geothermal systems
We derive technical potential estimates for enhanced geothermal systems (EGS) from temperature at depth data obtained from the Southern Methodist University’s (SMU) Geothermal Laboratory.
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the data ranged from 3k to 10km in depth
- viable regions temperatures greater than 150 celcius
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we apply known potential energy capacity \(MW_e/km^3\)
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to each temperature-depth interval
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to estimate total potential at each depth interval
- based on the total volume of each unique temperature-depth interval
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to estimate total potential at each depth interval
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to each temperature-depth interval
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Electric generation potential calculations summarize the technical potential \(MW\)
- at all depth intervals
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electric generation potential \(GWh\)
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at all depth intervals with a 90% capacity factor
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and annual electic generation potential \(GWh\) only at optimum depth
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we determine optimum depth by a quantative analysis
- of levelized cost of electricity (LCOE)
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we determine optimum depth by a quantative analysis
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and annual electic generation potential \(GWh\) only at optimum depth
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at all depth intervals with a 90% capacity factor
an optimum depth is found because drilling costs increase with depth while temperature, and therefore power plant efficiency, generally increase with depth so that power plant costs decrease with depth
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because drilling costs are increasing while power plant costs are decreasing
- on a per \(MW\) basis, at some point there is a minimum
natural gas fire generation
- gas delivery and gas fire generation